Climate science Department

Focus Areas

Climate Change Modeling

Scientific Imperative.
Simulations from global models provide critical information required to attribute past climate change and ameliorate future climate change. Despite the sophistication of current coupled climate models, these generally do not include the biogeochemical feedbacks, the spatial resolution, and the understanding of abrupt change required for comprehensive projections. To understand the role of these processes in regional and global climate change, the climate community should develop Earth system models (ESMs). ESMs will be designed to simulate the coupled physical, chemical, and biogeochemical evolution of the environment. It is increasingly critical to project local extremes in precipitation and other weather conditions forced by climate change. However, these projections are subject to large uncertainties governed by model physics and model resolution. New research is needed to understand whether projections of extremes can converge with better process fidelity and higher spatial resolution.

Core Capabilities.
One of the leading U.S. efforts is the Community Climate System Model created by DOE and partners in academia and other agencies. Simulations conducted with CCSM3 represent a major contribution to the fourth assessment by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Scientists at Berkeley Lab have been leaders in the creation of the CCSM series and the development of new components required to evolve CCSM into an ESM. Lab staff includes internationally recognized experts in terrestrial and oceanic ecosystems, biogeochemical cycles, atmospheric aerosols and clouds, radiative forcing, regional hydrometeorology, and abrupt climate change.

The Climate Change Prediction Program funds several projects at Berkeley Lab. The Lab is actively contributing to SciDAC’s multi-lab project entitled “Modeling the Earth System.” This activity integrates new and ongoing research in coupled carbon/climate modeling at UCB and the Lab with the DOE Laboratories’ development of an ESM based upon CCSM.